Author Topic: Fantasy League 2019/20  (Read 8373 times)

Lost Oliver

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #90 on: January 21, 2020, 02:07:32 PM »
I'm thinking about triple captaining TAA this week. I look forward to him collecting one point tonight in a 2-1 win a yellow card for Trent and then for him to be rested next week. Bought Firminho who i'm sure will be dropped for Origi.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #91 on: January 21, 2020, 02:18:55 PM »
I had a spate of good luck that led me to the top of the work's table, but only by a point and with Rashford crocked for ages and Leicester looking like their season is over, I'm glad I have my wild card on standby.

Have also considered making Alexander-Arnold captain, but elected to go with Martial, which is doubtless cursing United to a dreary 0-1 defeat against Dyche's pie and lard mob.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #92 on: January 21, 2020, 02:43:20 PM »
I'm thinking about triple captaining TAA this week. I look forward to him collecting one point tonight in a 2-1 win a yellow card for Trent and then for him to be rested next week. Bought Firminho who i'm sure will be dropped for Origi.

Liverpool are on Thursday against Wolves. Highly doubt Firmi o will be dropped when the next game is Shrewsbury on Saturday. Think Origi would start then. You should be fine.

Lost Oliver

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #93 on: January 21, 2020, 03:02:31 PM »
Good shout. Fingers crossed. I've gone with TAAx3. I see it as he's essentially a midfielder so more likely to get an assist even if he doesn't get a clean sheet.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #94 on: January 21, 2020, 03:06:19 PM »
Yeah I foolishly persisted with Roberston because he links up with Mane exceptionally so thought he'd get more assists.

Sticking with him out of spite now.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #95 on: January 21, 2020, 04:45:07 PM »
I foolishly used my triple captain a while ago when someone told me that you had a limited time to use it and I couldn't be arsed reading the rules. If I still had it (S)alah would be my main man this week as I've finally changed from Mane to him in midfield.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #96 on: February 08, 2020, 12:34:56 AM »
What If machine. Tells you how you would have done if you'd never changed your team.

https://www.game-change.co.uk/2017/08/28/fantasy-football-what-if-machine/

Find your team id by My Team and hovering mouse over View Gameweek history.

My 25 transfers have gained me a grand total of 115 points. At least I don't have Ross Barkley in my team still though.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #97 on: February 08, 2020, 12:54:20 AM »
Quote
Your current actual points are 1243 , and you've made 10 transfers. So your transfer activity and captaincy choices have been worth a total of 69 points!

YES.

Some utter duffers in my original team, Joe Hart and Glen Murray stand out.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #98 on: February 08, 2020, 01:41:46 AM »
Interesting link jesus, thanks for posting it.

Quote
Your current actual points are 1320, and you've made 34 transfers. So your transfer activity and captaincy choices have been worth a total of 83 points!

That's about the same as someone makes in one week when they decide to triple captain Salah/Sterling/Du Bruyne/Vardy/Tarkowski and get lucky with it.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #99 on: February 09, 2020, 07:53:03 PM »
Quote
Your current actual points are 1431 , and you've made 26 transfers. So your transfer activity and captaincy choices have been worth a total of 264 points!
Not too bad, I guess.

Lordofthefiles

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #100 on: June 16, 2020, 02:56:54 PM »
Everyone has a free Wildcard this week.

Go nuts, make some terrible decisions that seem like a great ideas right up to the moment of kick off.


Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #101 on: June 20, 2020, 04:40:41 PM »
Lundstram, Baldock and Grealish on the bench, 14 points missed.

Thank fuck Dunk scored.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #102 on: June 20, 2020, 10:30:00 PM »
Lundstram, Baldock and Grealish on the bench, 14 points missed.

Thank fuck Dunk scored.
You think you arsed up, I benched van Aarnholt, Ayew and Chilwell in favour of Rashford, Martial and Deeney. Basically hoping Fleck and Mount don't play so I can claw some of those points back.

phes

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #103 on: June 20, 2020, 10:47:28 PM »
Good return for me. Bench boost played (18 with one left to play), 91 points with 11 players potentially to play.

Too little too fucking late mate. 260,000

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #104 on: June 20, 2020, 11:20:49 PM »
You think you arsed up, I benched van Aarnholt, Ayew and Chilwell in favour of Rashford, Martial and Deeney. Basically hoping Fleck and Mount don't play so I can claw some of those points back.

Thats bad.

But I had Patricio on the bench too. 20 points into the ether, plus I have Nick Pope against City.

Shiiiiit

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #105 on: June 22, 2020, 07:11:03 PM »
What factor dictates which sub will replace a non played player? I have Lundstram and Grealish on the bench and Salah didn't play so who will replace him at end of game week?

phes

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #106 on: June 22, 2020, 07:17:41 PM »
The first player who can be fielded in any one available formation will be subbed. So unless you are already playing 5 at the back, that's Lundstram (if he's first)

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #107 on: June 22, 2020, 07:18:58 PM »
The first player who can be fielded in any one available formation will be subbed. So unless you are already playing 5 at the back, that's Lundstram

Aye but Robertson didn't play so Baldock will come in too right?

phes

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #108 on: June 22, 2020, 07:23:45 PM »
If you're currently playing with 3 or 4 at the back and Lundstram and Baldock are subs 1 and 2 then yes. Subbed in players are based on 1. Bench order and 2. An available berths on the field.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #109 on: June 22, 2020, 07:25:47 PM »
Shit, fucking Grealish then.

Cheers much for the info.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #110 on: June 22, 2020, 07:57:08 PM »
I was holding onto the hope Sterling would play tonight and nab a couple. But, alas, he's benched along with Walker - unlike Aguero, who is captain in one of my rival's teams.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #111 on: June 26, 2020, 03:33:04 AM »
How is it that the actual Magnus Carlsen is no. 1 overall?

Don't tell me, there are some chess-like tricks and feats to this game, aren't there? I always thought it was about taking educated guesses, budgeting well, and not picking Villa players.

phes

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #112 on: June 26, 2020, 09:27:03 AM »
It's him alright. It's been a talking point in the FPL community all season. He's been hovering about the top ten all season and tbf it will be an extraordinary story if he finishes anywhere in top few places. Winners typically agree that top, top finishes require skill and luck, but presumably if he does win there will be much discussion about how Magnus has managed luck

FerriswheelBueller

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #113 on: June 26, 2020, 01:52:46 PM »
There’s definitely skill to it, I had a shonky spreadsheet tracking invented sabermetric stats and determining value per player (and who would give the best value total, and who would be best value per pound spent).

That was years ago when I had to sit in front of spreadsheets all day and didn’t have a small child. Haven’t even had the time to make wild guesses this season.

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #114 on: June 26, 2020, 01:56:31 PM »
How is it that the actual Magnus Carlsen is no. 1 overall?

Don't tell me, there are some chess-like tricks and feats to this game, aren't there? I always thought it was about taking educated guesses, budgeting well, and not picking Villa players.

He's a fucking chess grandmaster, makes sense.

phes

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #115 on: June 26, 2020, 06:02:00 PM »
It's got much more complicated than budgeting and player selection as fpl has developed. As well as working with an unfeasibly large amount of player and team data you have

Formation
Pricing Structure
Bench (players, value, order, number of playing players)
Transfers
Price changes
Chips
Hits
Double game weeks
Blank game weeks
Effect of concurrent competitions
Season concluding early for some teams

Almost all these variables have multiple sub-variables and have to be weighed alongside several other variables to estimate and compare their influence or value. Planning decisions have to be made about when to begin preparing for events or phases. Decisions have to be made about to what degree you protect yourself from the influence of luck (e.g do you follow a pricing structure based on maximising flexibility and options, or not). It is a mind boggling number of considerations that appears quite chaotic
« Last Edit: June 26, 2020, 06:13:17 PM by phes »

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #116 on: June 26, 2020, 06:19:40 PM »
All that aside, I'm quite chuffed having Martial in my team finally paid off, especially as I'd made him captain for the last round.

FerriswheelBueller

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Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #117 on: June 26, 2020, 06:58:52 PM »
It's got much more complicated than budgeting and player selection as fpl has developed. As well as working with an unfeasibly large amount of player and team data you have

Formation
Pricing Structure
Bench (players, value, order, number of playing players)
Transfers
Price changes
Chips
Hits
Double game weeks
Blank game weeks
Effect of concurrent competitions
Season concluding early for some teams

Almost all these variables have multiple sub-variables and have to be weighed alongside several other variables to estimate and compare their influence or value. Planning decisions have to be made about when to begin preparing for events or phases. Decisions have to be made about to what degree you protect yourself from the influence of luck (e.g do you follow a pricing structure based on maximising flexibility and options, or not). It is a mind boggling number of considerations that appears quite chaotic

Well that’s why even when I was putting loads of time into it I was never much past “quite good”.

There’s also the imperfection of the data because of the small sample size of games, and the convoluted ways players contribute value - you see [ferris bangs on about baseball for 4 paragraphs]

Re: Fantasy League 2019/20
« Reply #118 on: June 27, 2020, 02:50:11 PM »
I'm around the top 10k at the moment and this will definitely be my highest finish ever. There's been no skill involved, I just copied someone's team from a much more knowledgeable football forum at the start and made lucky adjustments and captain choices all the way through.

Nearly 40 points clear in the C&B league now. Which is nice




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