75% of England is under tier 4, thus being unable to exercise with more than one person or go out for non-essential purposes. I don't see how the government can possibly go further than just a blanket tier 4 for everyone, beyond that would just be people not being allowed out at all, which wouldn't work or be enforceable. Further tiers like tier 5, as has been rumoured, IMHO negates the point of a tiered system - too many tiers, too much confusion.
Unlike the last March and November lockdowns, we have next to no advance warning on what is being announced. Scared that Boris is gonna do something really drastic, like full-on martial law, dictatorship, not allowed to be outside at all. (Because I'm clear-headed like that.) Surely that would cause just as much harm and people would not obey it - I could stay in my small, dark uni accommodation all day, but I'd feel like shit without going out for some walk. And I would need to go to the shop at some point.
Hilarious to think that just yesterday Boris told us that schools were undoubtedly safe and kids should go in, only to possibly be U-turning barely 48 hours later, by which point kids have spent 1 day in school so the horse has bolted. I have Asperger's and my reaction times are better than his.