we've done a bit of analysis (which should be published in a couple of weeks, maybe 3) that shows Lockdown and not vaccines have driven the case rate decrease. Now, this is speculative due to issues around data and variant onset (S gene drop-off).
I'm certainly no lockdown skeptic, far from it, and I also don't work in any sort of scientific field so forgive me if this sounds disingenuous and/or thick - and obviously I don't want to write off anyone who can't be vaccinated as a future social pariah, either - but if the majority of the population are vaccinated, then even if there are increases in cases compared with being in lockdown because vaccinated people are still able to spread it, then surely that won't carry the same implications as cases increasing pre-widespread vaccination (aside from potential for vaccine-resistant mutations, which is obviously a concern)? Otherwise what's the alternative, other than a permanent lockdown?
Risk calculator for Covid: https://qcovid.org/Calculation
Turns out my personal risk is 0.0005%, so why the fuck would it make sense for me to get vaxed?
Loath as I am to feed the monk, to frame an anti-vax argument like this is fucking dangerous bullshit. I know plenty of young, healthy people who would have scored similarly low on this test (none of the listed health conditions, healthy BMI, white Caucasian), who can now no longer walk up a short flight of stairs without getting winded, have pretty much zero short term memory, and still can't taste or smell properly, since having covid months ago. There are absolutely countless examples of people who haven't died or been hospitalised (which are the only risks being assessed in the Qcovid link) but who have nevertheless suffered life-changing physical and mental effects.
I'm incredibly fortunate not to have had covid (that I'm aware of, anyway) but I would far, far sooner get a vaccine that's been rigorously tested, than risk getting a virus which we're still learning about the extent of how it affects people - and all too often learning in the cruelest possible way. As it happens, one of my friends (who is currently suffering from long covid) nearly died a few years ago after suffering a rare reaction to Ibuprofen, AKA one of the most common over the counter drugs available - and they can't wait to get their covid vaccine. Any drug can have side effects, does that mean anyone who's ever popped a painkiller is a sHEePLe?
Urgh, not sure why I'm even bothering with this.